We will have permanent off-Earth colonies by 2020

Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-01-17.

• sweeneyrod estimated 40% on 2014-11-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% and said “What makes something ‘permanent’ in this case?” on 2014-11-17
• dkbrk estimated 5% on 2014-11-19
• Mati estimated 1% and said “more than one permanent off-Earth colony before 2020; that seems way overconfident; someone wants to bet?” on 2014-11-21
• sweeneyrod estimated 10% on 2014-11-23
• adbge estimated 1% on 2014-11-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 1% and said “Neither of the major space powers are bragging about doing this by 2020=not happening.” on 2016-03-11
• peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2020-01-15
• PseudonymousUser said “Even if the space station counts, there is only one, whereas the prediction said colonies, plural. ” on 2020-01-17
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-17.