We will have permanent off-Earth colonies by 2020

Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-01-17.

  • sweeneyrod estimated 40% on 2014-11-04
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% and said “What makes something ‘permanent’ in this case?on 2014-11-17
  • dkbrk estimated 5% on 2014-11-19
  • Mati estimated 1% and said “more than one permanent off-Earth colony before 2020; that seems way overconfident; someone wants to bet?on 2014-11-21
  • sweeneyrod estimated 10% on 2014-11-23
  • adbge estimated 1% on 2014-11-24
  • themusicgod1 estimated 1% and said “Neither of the major space powers are bragging about doing this by 2020=not happening.on 2016-03-11
  • peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2020-01-15
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Even if the space station counts, there is only one, whereas the prediction said colonies, plural. on 2020-01-17
  • Tapetum-Lucidum   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-17.

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