In the US, a federal government shut-down will occur before the next presidential election.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-11-05; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-11-09.

• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2014-11-05
• sweeneyrod estimated 30% on 2014-11-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-08-17
• two2thehead said “@ JoshuaZ : Could you give an example of what you consider a federal government shut down to be?” on 2016-08-17
• themusicgod1 said “probably https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2013/09/25/here-is-every-previous-government-shutdown-why-they-happened-and-how-they-ended/” on 2016-08-17
• two2thehead estimated 20% and said “Thank you themusicgod1. I should have seen this comment earlier. ” on 2016-10-07
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.