PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

predictionbook.com, as it functions now, will still exist by 2015.

Created by fork on 2011-11-12; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

  • fork estimated 60% on 2011-11-12
  • muflax estimated 75% and said “might change hoster or get a redesign, but basic functionality seems robust; also see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4161on 2011-11-12
  • Nic_Smith estimated 85% on 2011-11-12
  • shokwave estimated 95% and said “Supported by TrikeApps, open source available on github, LessWrong community has access to hosting… very strongon 2011-11-12
  • RobertLumley estimated 90% and said “What shockwave said ^on 2011-11-12
  • fork estimated 90% on 2011-11-12
  • Isaac estimated 85% on 2011-11-13
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2011-11-13
  • velocirhymer estimated 80% on 2011-11-13
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 95% on 2012-04-26
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.