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By 2025, the GOP's current libertarian/conservative coalition will no longer be united under one party.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2025-01-01

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2011-11-12
  • fork estimated 30% on 2011-11-12
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 80% on 2011-11-15
  • JoshuaZ said “How would one judge this? on 2011-11-15
  • NathanMcKnight said “@Joshua: Polls will show that most self-described conservatives identify with one party while most libertarians identify with a different party. on 2011-11-17
  • NathanMcKnight said “Basically, I expect the GOP to consist of its conservative core with few hangers-on while the Libertarian Party becomes a major rival. Alternately, I could see a Tea Party Party forming, leaving the GOP to absorb the Libertarian Party. on 2011-11-17
  • JoshuaZ said “25on 2011-11-17
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “oopson 2011-11-17
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 36% on 2016-10-09