In hindsight, Uber valued at $40b will be identified as the one of key triggers of the 2014-2016 bubble.

Created by RandomThinker on 2014-11-26; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-09-02.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2014-11-26
• RandomThinker said “It’ll have to be identified by some news article in 2018 or so. It’ll be remembered as one of the points though.” on 2014-11-26
• RandomThinker said “Also, check out my dot com boom prediction back in 2012. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6521” on 2014-11-26
• RandomThinker said “Either this or MagicLeap. MagicLeap is mysterious company no one has heard of, and will probably hear from again. Uber will go public, and will be very obvious by then. A bigger Groupon.” on 2014-11-26
• RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “In hindsight, Uber valued at $40b will be identified as the one of the starts of the 2014-2016 bubble.” on 2014-11-26
• sweeneyrod estimated 20% on 2014-11-27
• DaFranker estimated 40% on 2014-12-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2014-12-05
• adbge estimated 20% on 2014-12-06
• moridinamael estimated 33% on 2015-01-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% and said “No. Not a “trigger” of a bubble. ” on 2015-11-27
• PseudonymousUser said “That being said, I agree with you that we are in a bubble.” on 2015-11-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2015-12-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2015-12-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2015-12-17
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-09-02.