By 2035, the Voynich Manuscript will be deciphered and found to be written in a minority language or an Italian dialect still spoken in Italy today.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-24; known on 2035-01-01

• NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2011-11-24
• Anubhav estimated 10% and said “The dreaded conjunction… ” on 2011-11-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “That’s an extremely bold pair of claims. Conjunction…” on 2011-11-24
• Anubhav said “I’d say the first claim has a high probability; our tools of statistical analysis just keep getting better with time. The second one, not so much.” on 2011-11-24
• Anubhav estimated 5% and said “…. Yeah, the unlikelihood of the second part does push this down.” on 2011-11-24
• shokwave estimated 1% and said “This is “by 2035 Voynich deciphered as language spoken in Italy in 2011” right?” on 2011-11-24
• Anubhav said “Close; it’s ‘by 2035 Voynich deciphered as language spoken in Italy in 2011 by less than 50% of the contemporary Italian population’” on 2011-11-24
• Nic_Smith estimated 1% on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight changed their prediction from “By 2035, the Voynich Manuscript will be deciphered and found to be written in a minority language or dialect still spoken in Italy today.” on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight said “Sorry for the confusion…my intention was to include all languages and dialects spoken in modern Italy. Also, I think identification of the language and decipherment are nearly the same claim in this case. ” on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight said “…and linguistically, standard Italian does count as a dialect of Italian. See Ethnologue for more specificity: http://www.ethnologue.com/show_country.asp?name=IT” on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight said “If I had to put money on a language, I’d put it on Albanian (at maybe 10% odds). ” on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight said “I’m withdrawing this prediction because I’ve submitted a more clearly-phrased version. ” on 2011-11-24
• NathanMcKnight withdrew the prediction on 2011-11-24