There will be a Youtube video with more views (on Youtube) than there will be living humans before 2020.

Created by Mati on 2014-12-03; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• Mati estimated 70% on 2014-12-03
• reallyyesreally estimated 100% and said “The dead walk. And they want to see your gangnam style.” on 2014-12-03
• sweeneyrod estimated 50% on 2014-12-03
• Osuniev estimated 45% on 2014-12-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-12-04
• Michael Dickens estimated 95% and said “Right now Gangnam Style has 2 billion views. I remember just a few years ago when a video broke 100 million views for the first time. I fully expect YouTube to continue growing, so we should hit 7+ billion within the next few years.” on 2014-12-05
• harper estimated 40% on 2014-12-07
• holycow81 estimated 68% on 2014-12-08
• mad estimated 95% on 2014-12-16
• Medea estimated 65% on 2015-10-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-10-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 35% and said “Assuming language barriers kinda persist, most viewers of a given video would be from a few countries, say < 40% of population. In order for that view count to above the global population, the average viewer would need to watch it > 2.5 times.” on 2016-01-02
• PseudonymousUser said “Wow, lots of typos. Sorry.” on 2016-01-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 56% on 2016-05-01
• Bruno Parga said “Baby Shark (doo doo doo doo) has 7.57bn views, vs 7.84bn humans.” on 2021-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.