Giving What We Can will have at least 320 pledged members by December 31, 2012.

Created by CarlShulman on 2011-12-10; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-12-31.

• CarlShulman estimated 59% on 2011-12-10
• Qiaochu estimated 1% on 2012-11-17
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-31.
• Qiaochu said “269 members: http://www.givingwhatwecan.org/about-us/our-members” on 2012-12-31
• CarlShulman said “GWWC fell behind the log trend. One factor I hadn’t accounted for was diversion of resources within CEA away from GWWC towards new projects. 80,000 hours is up to 302 members, partially overlapping with GWWC: http://80000hours.org/members” on 2012-12-31
• CarlShulman said “GWWC reports that the total on Dec 31 was 277 in their records (delay in updating website).” on 2013-01-04