Mercury will not exist anymore by January 1st 2214.

Created by Mati on 2014-12-06; known on 2214-01-01

  • Mati estimated 17% on 2014-12-06
  • Mati said “http://youtu.be/VBvOEUj_fUU?t=12mon 2014-12-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2014-12-07
  • reallyyesreally estimated 0% and said “So what you’re saying is… you construct your worldview through watching pop-science flicks on Youtube with no engagement with the underlying science? +1 Rationality Pointson 2014-12-07
  • Michael Dickens estimated 1% on 2014-12-07
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 0% and said “The planet, or the element? :P Now, set the date ten thousand years in the future, and maybe…on 2014-12-15
  • NathanMcKnight said “Actually, the god, Mercury already does not exist…so…mark as true? on 2014-12-15
  • Philip_W estimated 1% and said “Conditional on this prediction being judged. Otherwise closer to 10%.on 2014-12-19

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