Feature phones are going to vanish out of the developed world and over the course of five years they'll vanish out of the developing world. — Marc Andreessen in http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57345138-93/marc-andreessen-predictions-for-2012-and-beyond/

Created by Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20; known on 2016-12-20

• Laurent Bossavit estimated 40% on 2011-12-20
• Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20
• Laurent Bossavit changed their prediction from “Feature phones are going to vanish out of the developed world and over the course of five years they'll vanish out of the developing world. — Marc Andreesen in http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57345138-93/marc-andreessen-predictions-for-2012-and-beyond/” on 2011-12-20
• faws said “Underspecified. Define “vanish” and “feature phone”. ” on 2011-12-20
• Laurent Bossavit said “Not sure; IBM’s predictions are frustratingly vague. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feature_phone and count less than 10% as “vanishing”.” on 2011-12-20
• Laurent Bossavit said “Er, I meant Andreessen’s predictions – though what I said applies to IBM’s as well.” on 2011-12-20
• faws said “That link does not actually give you the means to unambiguously identify a particular phone as feature phone. Do you mean 10% of devices in use, 10% of new sales or something else? ” on 2011-12-20
• themusicgod1 said “isn’t the timeline on this skewed? Feature phones were still vanishing in 2011…they are somewhat gone now, but that’d suggest that Andressen was meaning that by 2021 the feature phones would be flushed out of the developing world? ” on 2016-10-09