At least one of my New Years predictions will turn out to be correct for reasons that are surprising to me.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-02; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-27.

• JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2012-01-02
• JoshuaZ changed their prediction from “At least one of my New Years predictions will turn out to be correct for reasons that are surprising to me. Confidence: 80%” on 2012-01-02
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-27.