The future of the Euro: “Euro survives”.

Created by siscoking on 2012-01-07; known on 2014-01-16; judged right by ygert on 2014-02-02.

• siscoking estimated 50% on 2012-01-07
• faws said “What does this prediction mean, in concrete terms? Which exact financial targets need to be met, and with what tolerance? What qualifies as rapid fiscal union? How much and in what ways would the ECB need to “help” ?” on 2012-01-07
• modulus estimated 70% on 2012-01-07
• siscoking said “I think this is exactly the problems Merkel and her friends have at the moment, big plans but no specific goals….” on 2012-01-07
• faws said “Unspecific predictions can’t be scored. We need to know how to tell whether the prediction came true. ” on 2012-01-07
• siscoking said “Hi Faws I asume you have internet connection, so log on and see who agrees on what terms.http://www.focus-fen.net/?id=n268264It is not so difficult” on 2012-01-12
• faws said “You are missing the point. I am asking for specification so we can tell in 2014 whether the prediction was true or not. What, in addition to the Euro still existing, needs to be true in 2014 for this prediction to be scored as correct in 2014? ” on 2012-01-13
• siscoking changed their prediction from “The future of the Euro: Agreements reached on rapid fiscal union. Fiscal targets met in periphery. ECB helps finance interim liquidity needs. EFSF expanded. Euro survives.” on 2012-01-13
• siscoking said “I made it more easy for the intelectuals” on 2012-01-13
• Anubhav said “‘Imma delete a bunch of conjunctions and finish ’im off with a snark!!’ Ladies and gentlemen, we have our first troll. ” on 2012-01-13
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2012-01-13
• faws estimated 84% on 2012-01-13
• modulus estimated 85% and said “Given the change in prediction phrasing, I find this far more likely.” on 2012-01-15
• Leo estimated 85% on 2012-01-25
• ygert   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-02.