Nobody will independently recreate my idea in response to http://lesswrong.com/r/lesswrong/lw/9eo/a_call_for_solutions_and_a_tease_of_mine/.

Created by HonoreDB on 2012-01-16; known on 2012-01-19; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2012-01-18.

• HonoreDB estimated 90% on 2012-01-16
• Anubhav estimated 70% and said “Search space is vast; but if one agent finds it, similar agents should be able to think of it as well. The bet is therefore about the degree to which HonoreDB’s way of thinking is unique.” on 2012-01-16
• HonoreDB said “I’m going to call http://lesswrong.com/lw/9eo/a_call_for_solutions_and_a_tease_of_mine/5odd an independent recreation—it’s as close to histocracy as you can get given that I assumed away the measurement problem in the way I asked.” on 2012-01-18
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-18.