The child currently in the runaway balloon will survive

Created by JamesMiller on 2009-10-15; known on 2009-10-18; judged right by Jack on 2009-10-16.

• JamesMiller estimated 65% on 2009-10-15
• Jack said “Haha. How do we judge this. There WAS no child in the runaway balloon!” on 2009-10-16
• Jack   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-16.
• Matt said “http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8309818.stm” on 2009-10-16
• JamesMiller said “Jack – you are right since as it turned out the question assumed a false premise.” on 2009-10-16