A mundane, accepted explanation for the apparent imaginary mass of neutrinos will be found by 2020 that does not involve the neutrinos actually having imaginary mass (e.g. some form of systematic error).

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-27; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-12-27
• JoshuaZ said “See http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/lfw/tachyon_neutrinos_again/ and also see prediction 54627” on 2014-12-27
• kilobug estimated 60% on 2014-12-29
• JoshuaZ said “Still not well understood. Marking as wrong. ” on 2020-01-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.