Italian ferry death total to reach at least 15 by January 3rd

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-29; known on 2015-01-03; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-03.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-12-29
• JoshuaZ said “Confirmed death toll still lower. ” on 2015-01-03
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-03.