By 2025, a living multicellular organism will be printed using 3D printing technology.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-01-31; known on 2025-01-01

• NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-01-31
• faws estimated 10% on 2012-01-31
• Anubhav estimated 1% and said “Not happening. Biotech moves sloooooooowwwwly…. ” on 2012-02-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2013-01-27
• Tuxedage estimated 1% and said “NathanMcKnight: I’d be interesting to know what priors you have that made you predict an 80% probability. Do you know something I don’t?” on 2013-01-27
• Tuxedage said “I’d be interested*” on 2013-01-27
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2013-01-28
• HonoreDB said “When I try to picture this, I imagine things that have already happened: creating organisms via engineered DNA.” on 2013-01-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% and said “on the scale of making DNA…is additive manufacture really “3d printing technology” anymore though? Seems like a blurry boundary.” on 2016-10-10