At the end of the year, AMF will still be a GiveWell recommended charity.
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-31.
- EloiseRosen estimated 75% on 2015-01-03
- rebellionkid estimated 60% on 2015-01-05
- RobertLumley estimated 85% on 2015-01-05
- simplicio estimated 90% and said “Right now, it is the Givewell top charity and dominates their “allocation” recommendations. Seems unlikely to change by year end even if allocation drops.Wording: “A” recommended charity factors in too.” on 2015-01-08
- EloiseRosen said “simplicio: AMF has had room-for-funding related issues in the past.” on 2015-01-16
- Lissy estimated 80% on 2015-11-16
- JoshuaZ estimated 78% on 2015-11-16
- EloiseRosen judged this prediction right on 2015-12-31.