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At the end of the year, AMF will still be a GiveWell recommended charity.

Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-31.

  • EloiseRosen estimated 75% on 2015-01-03
  • rebellionkid estimated 60% on 2015-01-05
  • RobertLumley estimated 85% on 2015-01-05
  • simplicio estimated 90% and said “Right now, it is the Givewell top charity and dominates their “allocation” recommendations. Seems unlikely to change by year end even if allocation drops.Wording: “A” recommended charity factors in too.on 2015-01-08
  • EloiseRosen said “simplicio: AMF has had room-for-funding related issues in the past.on 2015-01-16
  • Lissy estimated 80% on 2015-11-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 78% on 2015-11-16
  • EloiseRosen   judged this prediction right on 2015-12-31.