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Ukip will have over 20 seats after the next UK general election

Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-10.

  • sweeneyrod estimated 70% on 2015-01-03
  • rebellionkid estimated 40% on 2015-01-05
  • rebellionkid estimated 5% on 2015-03-13
  • sweeneyrod estimated 1% on 2015-05-08
  • sweeneyrod said “I vastly overestimated the correlation between votes and seats.” on 2015-05-08
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-05-10.