A's bike will get stolen or lost in 2015.

Created by adri on 2015-01-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by adri on 2016-12-04.

• adri estimated 60% on 2015-01-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-01-08
• adri   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-04.