North Korea’s government will not collapse (whether due to revolt/civil war, or war with another country) before Dec 31, 2015.
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-10; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-31.
- EloiseRosen estimated 90% on 2015-01-10
- Daphron estimated 95% on 2015-01-10
- JoshuaZ estimated 85% and said “See also related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/52559” on 2015-01-11
- RandomThinker estimated 90% and said “Of course not. NK talks with SK is more likely than a collapse. ” on 2015-01-11
- RandomThinker said “If anything 2015 will be a good year for them.” on 2015-01-11
- benwr estimated 85% on 2015-01-11
- sweeneyrod estimated 80% on 2015-01-11
- tedks estimated 99% on 2015-01-12
- Pablo estimated 90% on 2015-01-14
- woodse estimated 95% and said “Un took out his top rival, and they haven’t been posturing as much lately.” on 2015-01-15
- PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2015-01-24
- RoryS estimated 90% on 2015-04-11
- JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2015-04-11
- NathanMcKnight estimated 99% on 2015-12-07
- PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2015-12-08
- EloiseRosen estimated 99% on 2015-12-08
- JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2015-12-08
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-12-24
- kuudes estimated 99% on 2015-12-27
- JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2015-12-28
- EloiseRosen estimated 100% on 2015-12-29
- EloiseRosen judged this prediction right on 2015-12-31.