The U.S. federal reserve will raise the federal funds target rate above 0.25% by June 2016

Created by benwr on 2015-01-11; known on 2016-06-02; judged right by kuudes on 2015-12-16.

• benwr estimated 60% on 2015-01-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-01-11
• RandomThinker estimated 60% on 2015-01-11
• kuudes estimated 90% and said “http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/fed-funds.html says about 90% already in March 2016” on 2015-03-29
• benwr changed the deadline from “on 2015-06-01” on 2015-05-28
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2015-12-16.
• kuudes said “http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20151216a.htm” on 2015-12-16