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S&P 500 P/E below 9 any time before 2020 Jan 1.

Created by brandyn on 2015-01-14; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by brandyn on 2020-01-01.

  • brandyn estimated 80% on 2015-01-14
  • Michael Dickens estimated 20% and said “It’s a lot higher than that right now, and 9 is unusually low, historically speaking.” on 2015-01-16
  • brandyn   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.