Can be (legally) driven on standard roads between a majority of arbitrary street addresses in at least one major city or region (in any country) by a fully autonomous vehicle by 2020 Jan 1.

Created by brandyn on 2015-01-14; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by brandyn on 2020-01-01.

• brandyn estimated 60% on 2015-01-14
• benwr said “Can you be more specific about who can be? I don’t really have enough info. Some people (people testing existing autonomous cars in CA, NV, MI, FL) already can be. Do you mean that a commercial car will be available?” on 2015-01-14
• brandyn   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.