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At least 10% of packages in any major country delivered autonomously (last kilometer) in 2019.

Created by brandyn on 2015-01-14; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by brandyn on 2020-01-01.

  • brandyn estimated 30% on 2015-01-14
  • woodse estimated 25% and said “The FAA will require drones to be flown by licensed pilots, so I dont think it will be cost effective. on 2015-01-16
  • themusicgod1 estimated 12% and said “too soon, but it’s comingon 2016-10-02
  • brandyn   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.