Windows will have greater than 12% market share of smart phones by March 2013 (12 months from now).

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-02; known on 2013-03-01; judged wrong by Emanuel Rylke on 2013-03-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 66% on 2012-03-02
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 5% on 2012-03-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2012-03-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2012-03-05
• RandomThinker said “I think you’re underestimate Windows. They were in that range 2-3 years ago.” on 2012-03-06
• Emanuel Rylke said “Well and then they got iOS and Android in the knee.” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker estimated 33% and said “Ok you guys are pulling me back to earth. Let’s try 6% rather than 12%. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5975” on 2012-03-06
• RandomThinker estimated 10% and said “My scale is off. I think the over-under on their market share is like 3% now.” on 2012-03-08
• Ben Doherty estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
• Michael Dickens estimated 20% on 2013-01-21
• Emanuel Rylke   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-03-01.