US obesity is going down (2012 “obesity” as measured by government health data will be lower than the percentage in 2011)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-05; known on 2013-02-15; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2013-06-15.

• RandomThinker estimated 67% on 2012-03-05
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2012-03-05
• RandomThinker said “Americans are getting thinner!” on 2012-03-05
• Leo estimated 40% on 2012-03-14
• RandomThinker said “NYT starting to report on it. Not sure if it’s going to make this year’s numbers. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/11/health/childhood-obesity-drops-in-new-york-and-philadelphia.html?hp&_r=0” on 2012-12-11
• Tuxedage estimated 40% on 2013-02-07
• DSanders estimated 70% on 2013-02-14
• RandomThinker said “Hmm inconclusive. Gallop says “Stable” http://www.gallup.com/poll/160061/obesity-rate-stable-2012.aspx” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker said “Turns out govt data isn’t as current as Gallup’s. CDC only goes up to 2010. ” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker said “I guess technically it went up from 26.1 to 26.2, so another near miss.” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-06-15.