CDS on Greek Debt will be triggered by May 1 (about 6 weeks)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-05; known on 2012-05-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-03-11.

• RandomThinker estimated 70% on 2012-03-05
• RandomThinker said “Didn’t take that long, only a week. http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20120309-712280.html” on 2012-03-11
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-03-11.