In 12 months (End of Q1 2013), unit sales of iPad 3 LTE + iPad 2 Wifi > iPad 3 Wifi
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-08; known on 2013-03-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2014-07-09.
- RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2012-03-08
- RandomThinker said “Mistake of banking too much on the hi res screen. Ipad2 screen is fine and cheaper. LTE is a fine feature though.” on 2012-03-08
- RandomThinker said “Hard to determine this. But ipad3 already superceded by ipad4, while ipad2 is still on sale. http://www.minyanville.com/sectors/technology/articles/aapl-apple-ipad-3-apple-ipad/10/25/2012/id/45358” on 2012-11-06
- RandomThinker said “Really had to say. Ipad 3 was discontinued 6 months after launch, Oct 2012. Base model of ipad2 lasted until Mar 2014. ” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “So the idea that ipad3 was not a blockbuster is right. ” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “http://ipod.about.com/od/ipadmodelsandterms/f/ipad-sales-to-date.htm Cumulative ipad sales figures” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “For the 6 months ipad3 was out, cumulative ipad sales went up 17m.” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “That’s about the same as the 2 6 month periods before that. But an order of magnitude less than the 6 month period after ipad3 was discontinued.” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “Aha. According to this, March 2013, ipad2 sales roughly = ipad with retina sales. http://allthingsd.com/20131024/why-is-apple-still-selling-the-ipad-2-because-it-can/” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “Dec 2012, ipad 2 wifi + ipad3 LTE = 33% v. 25% ipad3 wifi. Mar 2013, ipad2 wifi + ipad3 LTE = 38% v. 17%.” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker said “ipad3 wifi or even ipad retina wifi is one of the lowest selling models.” on 2014-07-09
- RandomThinker judged this prediction right on 2014-07-09.