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By April 1 either at least one user on LW will be either banned or publicly reprimanded for abusing the karma system or it will be determined that Eugine_Nier is still using multiple accounts to push the karma system in a way that strongly favors his poli

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-04-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-01.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-01-20
  • EloiseRosen estimated 50% on 2015-01-20
  • RobertLumley said “Hasn’t it already been confirmed that an account is Eugene? ” on 2015-01-22
  • JoshuaZ said “Yes, the Azatoth123 account which is now banned. That occurred prior to this prediction and I meant to not include it. ” on 2015-01-22
  • JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2015-01-27
  • Unknowns estimated 5% on 2015-03-10
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2015-04-01.