Before Dec. 1, 2009, PB will change the UI to make it clearer that users should click “My 2 Cents” when entering a probability, regardless of whether they want to add a comment, and that they should not click the “Right” or “Wrong” judgment button.

Created by anonym on 2009-10-17; known on 2009-12-01; judged right by anonym on 2009-10-21.

• anonym estimated 95% on 2009-10-17
• anonym changed their prediction from “Before Dec. 1, 2009, PredictionBook will change the UI to make it clearer that users should click “My 2 Cents” when entering a probability, regardless of whether they want to add a comment, and that they should not click the “Right” or “Wrong” judgment bu” on 2009-10-18
• Vladimir_Golovin estimated 80% on 2009-10-19
• Arenamontanus estimated 85% on 2009-10-19
• anonym said “Judging this right, because “My 2 cents” is now “Record my prediction”, and there are many explanatory notes added as well.” on 2009-10-20
• anonym   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-20.
• Chance   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-20.
• Chance estimated 95% on 2009-10-20
• anonym   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-21.
• freyley   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
• freyley said “the changes anonym cites are insufficient to prevent people from, commonly, mistakenly judging a prediction when they intend to bet on it.” on 2009-10-21
• anonym said “The question wasn’t about “preventing”: it said "change the UI to make it clearer. It is definitely MUCH clearer now than it was.” on 2009-10-21
• anonym said “They changed the UI in order to make it clearer, therefore I’m judging this “Right”, even if there’s still lots more to be done.” on 2009-10-21
• anonym   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-21.