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Russia to be at war or to have common media reports of many troops engaging in combat in a European country other than Ukraine by the end of 2018.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-20; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-30.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-01-20
  • sweeneyrod estimated 40% on 2015-01-20
  • sweeneyrod said “A definition of European might be helpful. In the EU now? In the EU at the time?on 2015-01-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-02-22
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “I thought Europe as in the continent. Did not consider EU specific to be relevant. on 2015-02-22
  • Znt estimated 90% and said “They will invade Turkey, Saudi Arabia, possibly Iran, Sweden and then will roll into central Europe.on 2015-10-13
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “I assume European. Where on Earth is Europena?on 2015-10-14
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2019-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Russia to be at war or to have common media reports of many troops engaging in combat in a Europena country other than Ukraine by the end of 2018.” on 2015-10-18
  • Raahul_Kumar said “I forgot to mention, but Europe isn’t a continent, it is just a political division. on 2015-10-28
  • JoshuaZ said “That depends where you are. In some countries they label Eurasia as a single continent whereas others don’t. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europeon 2015-10-28
  • themusicgod1 estimated 90% on 2016-04-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 68% on 2016-05-21
  • JoshuaZ said “Any objections to marking this wrong? on 2019-01-01
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-30.