Russia to be at war or to have common media reports of many troops engaging in combat in a European country other than Ukraine by the end of 2018.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-20; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-30.

• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-01-20
• sweeneyrod estimated 40% on 2015-01-20
• sweeneyrod said “A definition of European might be helpful. In the EU now? In the EU at the time?” on 2015-01-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-02-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “I thought Europe as in the continent. Did not consider EU specific to be relevant. ” on 2015-02-22
• Znt estimated 90% and said “They will invade Turkey, Saudi Arabia, possibly Iran, Sweden and then will roll into central Europe.” on 2015-10-13
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “I assume European. Where on Earth is Europena?” on 2015-10-14
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2019-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Russia to be at war or to have common media reports of many troops engaging in combat in a Europena country other than Ukraine by the end of 2018.” on 2015-10-18
• Raahul_Kumar said “I forgot to mention, but Europe isn’t a continent, it is just a political division. ” on 2015-10-28
• JoshuaZ said “That depends where you are. In some countries they label Eurasia as a single continent whereas others don’t. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europe” on 2015-10-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 90% on 2016-04-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 68% on 2016-05-21
• JoshuaZ said “Any objections to marking this wrong? ” on 2019-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-30.