Will believe SG was at P with prob >= 90% after usual checks

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-27; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-02.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 20% on 2015-01-22
• KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-04-02.