SpaceX sends a passenger flight to Mars by 2023.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-22; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2023-01-29.

• Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-03-22
• Anubhav said “http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/122923-spacex-ceo-claims-he-can-send-you-on-a-round-trip-to-mars-for-500k” on 2012-03-22
• RandomThinker estimated 5% and said “Harder than it seems. China will get there before SpaceX.” on 2012-03-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2012-03-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% and said “I almost substituted “someone will make it to Mars” for “SpaceX will make it to Mars.”.” on 2012-03-29
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-01” on 2013-01-26
• n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2022-10-29
• atharva117 estimated 0% on 2023-01-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-01-29.