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Mobile app suites will emerge as a paid for layer on top of vanilla OS

Created by Ben Doherty on 2012-03-28; known on 2013-09-28; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2013-09-30.

  • Ben Doherty estimated 55% on 2012-03-28
  • Ben Doherty said “As in a coordinated system that communicates seamlessly within the suite. I.e. if you go for a run the tracking is in your calendar, it adds more food to your shopping list, and updates the predicted lifespan of your shoes. Etc.” on 2012-03-28
  • RandomThinker said “which OS?” on 2012-03-28
  • Ben Doherty said “@RandomThinker: OS agnostic, but it needs to be a reasonably big thing, so I suppose it would leave the big 3, or a new player. (i.e. android, ios or WM)” on 2012-03-31
  • RandomThinker estimated 68% and said “If you mean apps will combine into suites that work together, I think the chances are pretty good in 18 months that’ll happen” on 2012-04-01
  • sdr said “What measures are “coordinated”, and “suit”? Most apps in the app store were always multi-functional, making this form of the prediction hardly evaluatable.” on 2013-07-31
  • Ben Doherty   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-09-30.