Including consoles, Diablo 3 will have lower sales than Skyrim (1st month sales = 7 million)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-04-01; known on 2012-07-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-08-15.

• RandomThinker estimated 80% on 2012-04-01
• RobertLumley estimated 75% on 2012-04-01
• RobertLumley said “Is D3 being offered on the console?” on 2012-04-01
• dkim126 estimated 60% on 2012-04-02
• RandomThinker said “@RobertLumley good point. I thought I saw news that D3 was coming out on consoles, and it looks like that was premature. Maybe we should have a separate prediction for whether there’ll be a console version.” on 2012-04-02
• RandomThinker said “Doesn’t look good. First week sales of Diablo 3 at around 6.3 million (although that number includes 1.2 million units not bought, so 5.1 million after a week). http://us.blizzard.com/en-us/company/press/pressreleases.html?id=5967868” on 2012-06-05
• RandomThinker said “Skyrim felt bigger than Diablo 3 but will have to see… numbers won’t be that accurate for a while” on 2012-06-05
• davidiach estimated 5% on 2012-06-06
• RandomThinker said “Strange no numbers reported for Diablo 3 first month. It must have tapered off a lot after the first week, although still probably got over 7m.” on 2012-08-15
• RandomThinker said “10 million players through end of July (10 weeks) http://investor.activision.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=697761” on 2012-08-15
• RandomThinker said “Actually pretty close. Skyrim claimed 10 million shipped as of Dec 16 (5 weeks after release). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls_V:_Skyrim Guess we’ll never know unless someone is from game industry has the numbers” on 2012-08-15
• RandomThinker said “Not official, but closest I can find. http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/40881/Global/ Skyrim (Dec 3, 2011 = 4 weeks) 3.12m, Diablo 3 (Jun 2, 2012 = 4 weeks) 2.02m. I’m marking this true unless anyone objects” on 2012-08-15
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-15.