Islamist militants will cause one or more deaths in the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, or Italy before or at 23:59 on the 31st March 2015 (per @MWStory).
Created by doxievee on 2015-02-01; known on 2015-04-01; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-14.
- doxievee estimated 8% on 2015-02-01
- doxievee said “The exclusion of France is deliberate.” on 2015-02-01
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-02-01
- kuudes estimated 5% on 2015-02-02
- Chri estimated 2% on 2015-02-02
- sweeneyrod estimated 10% on 2015-02-03
- alancamera estimated 3% on 2015-02-03
- kuudes estimated 50% and said “Currently some wounded: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-31472423” on 2015-02-14
- sweeneyrod said “http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/reports-shots-fired-copenhagen-cafe-free-speech-event-28967589 One dead in Copenhagen, almost certainly Islamist militants.” on 2015-02-14
- sweeneyrod judged this prediction right on 2015-02-14.