NATO and Russia will not have exchanged fire by the end of 2015.

Created by doxievee on 2015-02-01; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.

• doxievee estimated 95% on 2015-02-01
• JoshuaZ said “Determined how? ” on 2015-02-01
• doxievee said “Direct weapons fire between the Russian military and the military of a NATO state or states; to be valid it has to be reported widely.” on 2015-02-01
• Chri estimated 95% on 2015-02-02
• alancamera estimated 99% on 2015-02-03
• Calien estimated 99% on 2015-02-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2015-02-06
• sweeneyrod said “How will you gauge if it is the Russian military? What about Russian-trained soldiers, but not in Russian uniform?” on 2015-02-07
• sweeneyrod estimated 90% on 2015-02-07
• doxievee said “Let’s use the same criteria as for the Russian troops in eastern Ukraine, i.e. strong suspicion reinforced by Western intelligence and widely-reported evidence from the ground.” on 2015-02-08
• TheBlackFox estimated 95% on 2015-02-09
• doxievee estimated 80% on 2015-02-27
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Turkey is a member of NATO.https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_NATO” on 2015-12-31
• Raahul_Kumar said “Turkey’s downing of Russian warplane – what we knowhttp://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34912581” on 2015-12-31
• Raahul_Kumar said “Notice that even after fire was exchanged, WW3 didn’t happen. Enough with the hysterical reporting of Western media, there is infinite scope for nuclear armed nations to fight wars against each other without anything going wrong.” on 2015-12-31
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.