The SMALL REU will reject me.
Created by azax1 on 2015-02-13; known on 2015-02-14; judged right by azax1 on 2015-03-11.
- azax1 estimated 75% on 2015-02-13
- JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-02-13
- azax1 said “What in the world makes you think some random PredictionBooker’s chances are better than half?” on 2015-02-19
- JoshuaZ said “So was I right? This is marked as should having been known 5 days ago? ” on 2015-02-19
- azax1 said “I marked the very early know-by date because I didn’t know when I’d hear back from them and didn’t want to forget to update this.At the moment I haven’t heard back, which is very bad news but not literally a rejection.” on 2015-03-09
- azax1 judged this prediction right on 2015-03-11.