The margin of victory in the French election will be less than 5 points

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-05; known on 2012-05-30; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-05-07.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-05-05
• RandomThinker said “Most recent poll has Hollande over Sarkozy by 4 pts http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2012/05/05/world/europe/05reuters-france-election-poll.html?hp” on 2012-05-05
• RandomThinker said “Hollande won with 51.9% to Sarkozy with 48.1%. It was closer than expected: http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/337760/20120506/france-election-hollande-sarkozy.htm” on 2012-05-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-05-07.