At most 1 of the NYT profiled hot startups (Pinterest, Path, Pinwheel, Taskrabbit, Dropbox, Square, Quora, Uber, Airtime) will be acquired before the end of 2013.

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-07; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by RandomThinker on 2014-07-07.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-05-07
• RandomThinker said “List here: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/05/07/technology/start-ups-next-big-thing.html?hp&hp” on 2012-05-07
• RandomThinker said “The acquisition predictions are too hard to scale because any specific one will be at most 20-30% or so. So I’m trying them as a basket. At most 1 here means 0 or 1. ” on 2012-05-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2012-05-07
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2012-05-22
• RandomThinker said “The answer would be none.” on 2014-07-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2014-07-07.