Europe will abandon austerity policy by end of 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-13; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2014-07-07.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-05-13
• RandomThinker said “I consider this satisfied if Merkel is not re-elected (and not replaced by someone who supports austerity even more); or if Merkel changes her policy.” on 2012-05-13
• RandomThinker said “Hmm.. after Cyprus not looking good. Austerians doubling down, it’ll take more time.” on 2013-03-23
• RandomThinker said “Getting closer, but “abandon” is so vague. http://news.yahoo.com/eu-eases-pace-austerity-help-economy-122127231.html” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “http://www.livemint.com/Politics/diQwfK4kytFndhNCnhTtZI/European-leaders-saying-no-to-austerity-not-ready-for-stimu.html This one is even closer. I guess I’ll wait to see how the news spins it.” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “Hard to say exactly. Here’s a BW article from end of 2013 saying austerity is over. http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-12-19/austeritys-fiscal-drag-nears-end-as-europe-u-dot-s-dot-go-for-growth” on 2014-07-07
• RandomThinker said “Merkel didn’t lose election though, although she’s shifted a little. I probably have to call this wrong, even though no one uses the term much anymore.” on 2014-07-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-07-07.