GB will out-medal Aus in the 2012 olympic games

Created by Ben Doherty on 2012-05-20; known on 2012-08-11; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2012-08-11.

• Ben Doherty estimated 51% on 2012-05-20
• Ben Doherty said “based on number of golds, and then silvers will decide a tie break, then bronzes in the event that gold and silver are matched” on 2012-05-20
• RandomThinker said “How can a country outmedal itself?” on 2012-05-20
• Jayson Virissimo said “Yeah, I thought only Chuck Norris could out-medal himself.” on 2012-05-21
• Ben Doherty said “chuck might be able toI meant Aus, sorry; changing now” on 2012-05-28
• Ben Doherty changed the deadline from “on 2012-08-12” and changed their prediction from “GB will out-medal GB in the 2012 olympic games” on 2012-05-28
• RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “I haven’t looked anything up, but Aussies are great athletes. My money’s on them.” on 2012-05-28
• Ben Doherty said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Summer_Olympics_medal_tableIn 2008 GB had 19 golds to Australia’s 14” on 2012-06-02
• chemotaxis101 estimated 38% on 2012-07-01
• RandomThinker said “UK medal count is smashing Australia right now. Who’d thunk? At this rate, I think they might out-medal themselves.” on 2012-08-06
• RandomThinker said “Seems like I fell for the ol’ reversion to the mean. Good explanation of Australia’s olympic woes: http://www.quora.com/2012-Summer-Olympics-in-London/Why-are-the-Australians-doing-so-poorly-at-the-2012-Olympics” on 2012-08-07
• Ben Doherty   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-11.