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I will pass both an oral examination in comprehension of the german language, and the standard advanced mathematics written exam (college level). The direct consequences of failing either of these exams is a sum of approximately 1,250 USD

Created by FourFire on 2015-03-07; known on 2015-05-31; judged wrong by FourFire on 2015-05-31.

  • FourFire estimated 75% on 2015-03-07
  • FourFire changed the deadline from “on 2015-05-30” and changed their prediction from “I will pass both an oral examination in comprehension of the german language, and the standard advanced mathematics written exam (college level). The direct consequences of failing either of these exams is a sum of approximately 1,250 USD (current bein” on 2015-03-07
  • FourFire estimated 75% and said “The prediction is truncated, remainder is as follows: “[…]approximately 1,250 USD (current being paid to the single person I hate the most, by the family member I care about the most. "” on 2015-03-07
  • FourFire changed the deadline from “on 2015-05-30” and changed their prediction from “I will pass both an oral examination in comprehension of the german language, and the standard advanced mathematics written exam (college level). The direct consequences of failing either of these exams is a sum of approximately 1,250 USD (current exch” on 2015-03-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-03-07
  • FourFire   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-05-31.
  • FourFire said “I am now 1,250 USD poorer.” on 2015-05-31