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montgomery will defeat petterb in both of their dailygammon.com error rate tournament matches.

Created by refragable on 2009-10-28; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by refragable on 2010-01-01.

  • refragable estimated 22% on 2009-10-28
  • refragable estimated 5% and said “correcting prediction = should have been 22% x 22%” on 2009-10-28
  • refragable   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-01-01.