Michelle Obama will run for office before 2021

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-29; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-05-29
• RandomThinker said “Denied rumor that she’s running for Senate in 2016. Not limiting this to just Senate. http://slatest.slate.com/posts/2012/05/29/michelle_obama_denies_political_career_interests_while_promoting_new_book_on_white_house_garden_.html” on 2012-05-29
• HonoreDB estimated 25% on 2012-05-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2012-05-30
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% and said “There is a pretty big spread on this one.” on 2012-05-30
• RandomThinker said “What is she going to do with her life? She’s still young. Is she going to be a banker?” on 2012-05-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2012-05-30
• army1987 estimated 40% on 2012-06-05
• davidiach estimated 5% on 2012-06-06
• chimpsky estimated 20% on 2012-06-07
• Qiaochu estimated 5% and said “Looked at what the last few First Ladies did after leaving the White House. Clinton appears to have been an outlier. The other First Ladies preferred activism of various kinds and Michelle Obama strikes me as fitting in that mold.” on 2012-10-14
• simplicio estimated 10% on 2013-02-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-10
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.