Scotland will vote in favour of independence in the 2014 referendum

Created by chimpsky on 2012-06-07; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-09-19.

• chimpsky estimated 40% on 2012-06-07
• chimpsky said “Assuming it happens http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014” on 2012-06-07
• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-06-08
• scav estimated 45% and said “Polls are at about 36% before any serious campaigning underway on either side. Possible to get over the 50% line, but by no means probable.” on 2012-07-31
• simplicio estimated 20% on 2013-02-20
• simplicio said “I think separatist causes poll higher than actual outcomes. A public with nationalist leanings sees bargaining power and political cachet in supporting separatist parties, but often balks at actually separating.” on 2013-02-20
• ElliotJH estimated 60% on 2014-07-14
• qznc estimated 30% on 2014-07-14
• rebellionkid estimated 5% on 2014-07-28
• rebellionkid estimated 30% on 2014-09-06
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2014-09-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2014-09-09
• rebellionkid estimated 10% on 2014-09-17
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-09-19
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-19.