After the next German Federal Election, the Chancellor will be from the Social Democrat Party.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-13; known on 2014-02-01; judged wrong by ​ on 2014-02-01.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2012-06-13
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-06-13
• timme estimated 38% on 2014-01-23
• ​ estimated 30% on 2014-02-01
• ​ said “Oops, this was about the 2013 election, not the upcoming one…” on 2014-02-01
• ​   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-01.