H7N9 will become pandemic by March 15, 2020.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-03-15; known on 2020-03-15; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-03-15.

• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-03-15
• JoshuaZ said “See here http://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/2ytiqu/h7n9_bird_flu_has_the_makings_of_a_pandemic_virus/cpf7ad0?context=3 bet with a3j for 20 USD. ” on 2015-03-15
• Unknowns estimated 1% on 2015-03-15
• EloiseRosen estimated 30% on 2015-03-16
• ThetaAurigae estimated 20% on 2015-03-17
• JoshuaZ said “Note: User has deleted their Reddit account. So it is unlikely that the bet will be resolved. ” on 2015-04-12
• stepan estimated 2% on 2020-02-24
• Bruno Parga said “Ouch.” on 2020-03-03
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-03-15.
• JoshuaZ said “In retrospect, my confidence was overly high. I may have gotten lucky here. ” on 2020-03-15