He doesn't take any of that lecture, conditional on eclipse roughly as described, as agreed by prediction setters

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-21; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-03-22.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 35% on 2015-03-17
• qwerty314 estimated 58% on 2015-03-17
• qwerty314   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-22.